If pollsters and pundits had any sense of shame, they would slink off to do penance for their performance in the past week. But they won't.
The New Hampshire resurrection of Hillary Clinton surprised them as much as did the Iowa christening of Barack Obama and Mike Huckabee as front runners, but the talking heads and numbers crunchers will be back today to sell new versions of their faulty products with as much assurance as ever.
There will be reversible explanations: Hillary's tears that were a meltdown two days ago will morph into a moment of humanity that touched the hearts of voters. Obama's surging crowds will become hordes of undecideds trying to make up their minds at the last minute.
Nothing wipes the knowing smiles off the faces of the "insiders" who, in the words of Daniel Boorstin, are well-known for their well-knowness and spew Delphic certainties that are never later subjected to proof of accuracy.
Maybe the Consumer Product Safety Commission should set up a division to recall defective opinions and polls that are a danger to our mental health.
Showing posts with label reversible explanations. Show all posts
Showing posts with label reversible explanations. Show all posts
Wednesday, January 09, 2008
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